Championship
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Gabriel Osho 10' goal
  • Tom Lockyer 43' goal

Luton Town vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland 2 - 1 Luton

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland 2 - 1 Luton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 45.54% (-1.25)
Draw 27.37% (+0.34)
Sunderland 27.09% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.68% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.74% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 58.26% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 21.11% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 78.89% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 8.98% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 91.02% (+0.33)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.46% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 25.53% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 39.61% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 60.39% (+1.27)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 62.68% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 37.31% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 25.9% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 74.1% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Luton Town 45.53%
Draw 27.36%
Sunderland 27.09%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 9.53% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.36%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 9.39% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.63% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.09%

Head to Head

Championship
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
  • Amad Diallo 39' goal
  • Trai Hume 63' goal
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 11'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Amad Diallo 86' goal
  • goal Alfie Doughty 51'
Championship Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 45'+2' goal
  • goal Elliot Embleton 78'
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
  • Chris Maguire 16' goal
  • Tom Flanagan 45' yellowcard
  • Reece James 75' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Lee 45'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 62'
  • goal James Collins 67'
  • redcard Danny Hylton 70'
  • yellowcard James Collins 80'
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 90'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Alan McCormack 56' yellowcard
  • Jorge Grant 60' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pearson 68' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Matthews 20'
  • goal Josh Maja 45'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 61'
  • yellowcard Glenn Loovens 90'
Championship
May 6, 2007 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Coyne 43' yellowcard
  • Besian Idrizaj 45' yellowcard
  • Keith Keane 85' yellowcard
  • Ahmet Brkovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Stokes 4'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stokes 26'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 46'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Collins 81'