Championship

Championship | 2nd Leg

May 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 0
Sunderland

(Luton Town win 3-2 on aggregate)

Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record a 2-0 victory over Sunderland to reach the Championship playoff final, prevailing 3-2 on aggregate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Sunderland
45.54% ( -1.24)	27.37% ( 0.34)	27.09% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

-0.69)

58.26% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

-0.54)

78.89% (

0.54)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-0.92)

25.53% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

-1.27)

60.39% (

1.26)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

0.38)

37.31% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

0.38)

74.1% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 45.53%

Sunderland 27.09%

Draw 27.36%

Luton Town	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.53%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.09%