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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
1 - 2
Sunderland

Swift (45+1' pen.)
Molumby (23'), Yokuslu (38'), Swift (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Gelhardt (70'), O'Nien (78'), Gooch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sunderland

With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
50.76% (0.489 0.49) 25.16% (-0.112 -0.11) 24.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.13 0.13)52.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.114 0.11)73.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)20.54% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.408 0.41)53.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.264 -0.26)36.56% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.265 -0.27)73.34% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.75%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 25.16%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sunderland
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Batth (33')
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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