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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sunderland


Ng (59'), Kipre (75'), Etete (76'), Rinomhota (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (60')
Neill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Sunderland

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, as both sides are in desperate need of the win. Sunderland will be the favourites, but Cardiff were excellent at Blackpool last time out, so we can see the Welsh team securing a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
35.35% (0.409 0.41) 26.87% (0.273 0.27) 37.77% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.077 -1.08)53.88% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.912 -0.91)75.34% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.271 -0.27)29.1% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.336 -0.34)65.03% (0.339 0.34)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)27.66% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-1.164 -1.16)63.21% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 35.35%
    Sunderland 37.77%
    Draw 26.87%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.339 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
26.2%
Draw
38.1%
Sunderland
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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