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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sunderland

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
35.35% (0.409 0.41)26.87% (0.273 0.27)37.77% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.077 -1.08)53.88% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.912 -0.91)75.34% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.271 -0.27)29.1% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.336 -0.34)65.03% (0.339 0.34)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)27.66% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-1.164 -1.16)63.21% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 35.35%
    Sunderland 37.77%
    Draw 26.87%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.339 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
26.2%
Draw
38.1%
Sunderland
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0


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