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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 35.35% ( | 26.87% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( | 53.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( | 75.34% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( | 65.03% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( | 63.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.77% |