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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Hull logo

Sunderland
4 - 4
Hull City

Gelhardt (21'), Diallo (22', 73' pen.), Clarke (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Tufan (11', 90+8' pen.), Sayyadmanesh (25'), Slater (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Good Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawHull City
40.88% (0.078000000000003 0.08)27.14% (-0.032 -0.03)31.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.107 0.11)55.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.088999999999999 0.09)76.69% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.091999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.121 0.12)61.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.026 0.03)68.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 40.88%
    Hull City 31.97%
    Draw 27.14%
SunderlandDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Hull City

Sunderland
78.4%
Draw
13.5%
Hull City
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Hull City
2-2
Sunderland
Magennis (28', 64')
Lewis-Potter (50'), Wilks (61')
Jones (10'), Leadbitter (34' pen.)
Wright (16'), Wyke (20'), O'Nien (89')
Jan 9, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Sunderland
0-0
Hull City
Hull City win 5-4 on penalties

Hume (55')

Fleming (45+2'), Samuelsen (90+4')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
1-0
Hull City
Asoro (20')
Browning (57'), Asoro (78'), Cattermole (90'), Gooch (90')

Dawson (74'), Larsson (81')