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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
| 40.88% ( | 27.14% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% ( | 55.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% ( | 76.69% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( | 61.94% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( | 68.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.97% |