Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.