Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.