Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.