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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
36.47% (0.176 0.18)27.22% (-0.012 -0.01)36.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.053000000000004 0.05)55.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (0.163 0.16)65.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)65.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.47%
    Norwich City 36.3%
    Draw 27.22%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
46.5%
Draw
20.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
rhs 2.0


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