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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 59.25% ( | 23.9% ( | 16.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% ( | 55.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( | 76.7% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( | 18.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( | 49.77% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.7% ( | 46.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.05% ( | 81.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( 2-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-2 @ 3.62% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.85% |