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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 50.42% ( | 26.5% ( | 23.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( | 57.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( | 78.61% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( | 23.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( | 40.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( | 77.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% |