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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Reading logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Reading

Sawyers (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawReading
50.42% (0.826 0.83)26.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)23.08% (-0.781 -0.78)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.449 -0.45)57.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.357 -0.36)78.61% (0.35499999999999 0.35)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.17700000000001 0.18)23.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.262 0.26)56.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1 -1)40.73% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.911 -0.91)77.31% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.42%
    Reading 23.08%
    Draw 26.49%
Cardiff CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Reading

Cardiff City
65.4%
Draw
13.1%
Reading
21.5%
107
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Reading
2-1
Cardiff
Long (27' pen.), Ince (63')
Hoilett (20'), Abretti (86'), Yiadom (90')
O'Dowda (4')
Nelson (25'), Collins (65'), Harris (90')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Reading
1-2
Cardiff
Joao (7')
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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