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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
50.42% ( 0.83) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% ( -0.45) | 57.89% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.36) | 78.61% ( 0.35) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.18) | 23.07% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( 0.26) | 56.91% ( -0.26) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( -1) | 40.73% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( -0.91) | 77.31% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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