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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 29.77% ( | 26.82% ( | 43.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( | 55.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( | 70.09% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( | 25.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( | 59.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.4% |