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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Sunderland

Rotherham
2 - 1
Sunderland

Rathbone (19'), Ferguson (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gelhardt (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
29.77% (-0.337 -0.34)26.82% (0.227 0.23)43.41% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.842 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (-1.005 -1.01)55.01% (1.006 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.836 -0.84)76.28% (0.837 0.84)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.771 -0.77)33.46% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-0.853 -0.85)70.09% (0.85300000000001 0.85)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.393 -0.39)25.14% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.547 -0.55)59.85% (0.546 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.77%
    Sunderland 43.4%
    Draw 26.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.77%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 11.61% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Sunderland

Rotherham United
19.7%
Draw
15.6%
Sunderland
64.8%
122
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm