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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
| 53.5% ( | 23.61% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( | 46.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( | 69.13% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( | 17.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( | 47.92% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( | 34.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% | 71.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.89% |