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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 64.32% ( | 20.07% ( | 15.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( | 42.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( | 12.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.78% ( | 38.22% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% ( | 39.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% ( | 76.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 64.31% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.07% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.61% |