Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Amad Diallo 86' goal
  • goal Alfie Doughty 51'

Sunderland vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2023 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 2 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Luton 1 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Sunderland 32.42% (-0.83)
Draw 27.23% (-0.22)
Luton Town 40.35% (+1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.24% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 55.76% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 23.11% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 76.89% (-0.54)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 31.96% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.59% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 68.41% (+0.26)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.91% (+0.89)
Under 0.5 27.1% (-0.89)
Over 1.5 37.52% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 62.48% (-1.15)

Score analysis

Sunderland 32.42%
Draw 27.23%
Luton Town 40.34%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 7.38% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-96.26)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 45'+2' goal
  • goal Elliot Embleton 78'
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
  • Chris Maguire 16' goal
  • Tom Flanagan 45' yellowcard
  • Reece James 75' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Lee 45'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 62'
  • goal James Collins 67'
  • redcard Danny Hylton 70'
  • yellowcard James Collins 80'
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 90'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Alan McCormack 56' yellowcard
  • Jorge Grant 60' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pearson 68' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Matthews 20'
  • goal Josh Maja 45'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 61'
  • yellowcard Glenn Loovens 90'
Championship
May 6, 2007 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Coyne 43' yellowcard
  • Besian Idrizaj 45' yellowcard
  • Keith Keane 85' yellowcard
  • Ahmet Brkovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Stokes 4'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stokes 26'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 46'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Collins 81'
Championship
Dec 9, 2006 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 9' goal
  • David Connolly 53' goal
  • goal Dean Morgan 5'
  • yellowcard Ahmet Brkovic 90'