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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town
Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
32.42% (-0.82 -0.82) 27.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 40.35% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (0.65799999999999 0.66)55.76% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.533 0.53)76.89% (-0.535 -0.53)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.96% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.253 -0.25)68.41% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.88800000000001 0.89)27.1% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (1.145 1.15)62.48% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 32.42%
    Luton Town 40.34%
    Draw 27.23%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
Luton Town
55.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester17140331102142
2Ipswich TownIpswich17123236231339
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1895429171232
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1795328171132
5Southampton179442827131
6Hull City188642822630
7Preston North EndPreston188462430-628
8Cardiff CityCardiff188372721627
9Middlesbrough188372926327
10Sunderland178272719826
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn178182726125
12Bristol City177461918125
13Watford186662622424
14Norwich CityNorwich187293235-323
15Coventry CityCoventry185762321222
16Birmingham CityBirmingham176472123-222
17Stoke CityStoke186391825-721
18Swansea CitySwansea175572423120
19Millwall175571922-320
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth185492928119
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield173771529-1416
22Queens Park RangersQPR1834111530-1513
23Rotherham UnitedRotherham1826101737-2012
24Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds171313829-216

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