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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town

Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton

Diallo (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
32.42% (-0.82 -0.82) 27.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 40.35% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (0.65799999999999 0.66)55.76% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.533 0.53)76.89% (-0.535 -0.53)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.96% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.253 -0.25)68.41% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.88800000000001 0.89)27.1% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (1.145 1.15)62.48% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 32.42%
    Luton Town 40.34%
    Draw 27.23%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
Luton Town
55.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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