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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
49.95% ( -0.07) | 25.95% ( 0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.89% ( -0.41) | 55.11% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.64% ( -0.34) | 76.36% ( 0.34) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( -0.2) | 22.11% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.3) | 55.47% ( 0.3) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( -0.26) | 38.2% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( -0.25) | 74.96% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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