Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
49.95% ( -0.07)	25.95% ( 0.1)	24.1% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89% (

-0.41)

55.11% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64% (

-0.34)

76.36% (

0.34)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

-0.2)

22.11% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53% (

-0.3)

55.47% (

0.3)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-0.26)

38.2% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

-0.25)

74.96% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 49.94%

Bristol City 24.1%

Draw 25.95%

Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.1%