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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')
Morris (34'), Berry (62'), Bell (78'), Adebayo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (51'), Pring (64'), Sykes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Bristol City

Expectation is building at Luton, something which could either boost or destabilise their promotion bid. On this occasion, we feel that it will be the former as we expect the Hatters to put on a professional display, motivated to improve in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
49.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.95% (0.103 0.1) 24.1% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.409 -0.41)55.11% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.339 -0.34)76.36% (0.342 0.34)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.199 -0.2)22.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.301 -0.3)55.47% (0.303 0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.261 -0.26)38.2% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.25 -0.25)74.96% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.94%
    Bristol City 24.1%
    Draw 25.95%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol City
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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