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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
1 - 2
West Brom

Brown (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (59', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 QPR
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.02% (-0.324 -0.32)26.28% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)34.7% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.371 0.37)51.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.322 0.32)73.3% (-0.318 -0.32)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.81% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.43100000000001 0.43)28.34% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.54 0.54)64.07% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.02%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.7%
    Draw 26.27%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
65.7%
Draw
25.7%
West Bromwich Albion
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')