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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 50.96% ( | 24.46% | 24.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( | 48.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( | 70.93% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( | 19.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% | 50.83% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.58% |