Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in October 2020

Michael O'Neill praises young players as Stoke overcome Middlesbrough

Nathan Collins' header secured all three points.

Dec 5, 18:22

The Match

Match Report

A Nathan Collins header secured the points for the Potters.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
36.94%	27.66%	35.4%

Both teams to score 48.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02%

56.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12%

77.88%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3%

65.7%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16%

66.84%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 36.94%

Middlesbrough 35.4%

Draw 27.66%

Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.94%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City

44.3%

Draw

31.1%

Middlesbrough

24.5%