Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2020 at 7pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
3 - 2
Stoke

Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020

Michael O'Neill furious with controversial defeat to Watford

The Hornets were trailing to Steven Fletcher's second-minute opener when the controversial goal was awarded in the 28th minute.

Nov 4, 22:32

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr had the last word to lift the Hornets into the play-off positions.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Watford and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Stoke City
38.19%	27.84%	33.98%

Both teams to score 48.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.25%

57.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.51%

78.49%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76%

65.24%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08%

31.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63%

68.37%

Score Analysis

Watford 38.18%

Stoke City 33.98%

Draw 27.83%

Watford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.18%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.98%