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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 38.67% | 27.99% | 33.34% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% | 58.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% | 79% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.28% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% | 32.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% | 69.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.62% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.33% |