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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.9% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 23.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.02 -0.02)73.52% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.24% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-0.061 -0.06)41.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.052 -0.05)78.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 18.58%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Queens Park Rangers
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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