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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough logo

West Brom
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Dike (8', 10')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Smith (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Middlesbrough

West Brom have started to stutter in their playoff charge for the first time under Corberan, and the visit of an in-from Middlesbrough is not the easiest game to get back to winning ways in. Boro are closing in on the automatic promotion spots after a sensational run of form, however we feel they might have to settle for just a point at The Hawthorns on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
48.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 25.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.04% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01)20.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)53.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 48.46%
    Middlesbrough 26.42%
    Draw 25.1%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.42%

How you voted: West Brom vs Middlesbrough

West Bromwich Albion
17.1%
Draw
22.0%
Middlesbrough
61.0%
82
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
West Brom
0-2
Middlesbrough

Livermore (57'), Phillips (69'), Austin (72'), Furlong (82')
Ayala (17'), Fletcher (93')
Howson (48'), Spence (69'), Coulson (85')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
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19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
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