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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
3 - 2
West Brom

Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Hoedt (31'), Choudhury (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Pieters (55'), Molumby (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

With Watford having likely dropped outside of the playoffs come kickoff, there will be an onus on trying to regain that spot on Monday night. However, West Brom are a tough fixture for any team in the division, and we feel that both sides will likely be content with a share of the spoils should the opportunity materialise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
44.75% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.17% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.07% (0.012 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)23.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.026 -0.03)69.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.74%
    West Bromwich Albion 29.17%
    Draw 26.08%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.74%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
52.0%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
18.1%
171
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Rondon (19'), Evans (21')
Livermore (87'), Evans (88'), McClean (90')
Doucoure (37'), Richarlison (90')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
West Brom
Niang (13'), Deeney (49')
Britos (40'), Niang (69')
Britos (65')

Robson-Kanu (43'), McClean (45'), Livermore (58'), Nyom (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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