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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Reading |
| 70.05% ( | 18.61% ( | 11.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( | 67.72% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.24% ( | 11.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.08% ( | 36.92% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.57% ( | 48.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.46% ( | 83.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Reading |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 9.31% ( 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 2-2 @ 3.43% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 1-2 @ 3.2% ( 0-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.34% |