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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Reading logo

Middlesbrough
5 - 0
Reading

Akpom (24' pen., 48'), Ramsey (45+1', 51'), Forss (76' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
70.05% (-0.51799999999999 -0.52)18.61% (0.293 0.29)11.34% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.684 -0.68)45.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.657 -0.66)67.72% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.336 -0.34)11.75% (0.335 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.08% (-0.72 -0.72)36.92% (0.719 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 70.03%
    Reading 11.34%
    Draw 18.61%
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.61%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.2% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.34%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Reading

Middlesbrough
85.7%
Draw
3.6%
Reading
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Reading
1-0
Middlesbrough
Fornah (28')
Hoilett (41'), McIntyre (75'), Bouzanis (85'), N'Diaye (90+2')

Jones (22')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Reading
Crooks (84', 90+5')
Tavernier (74')
Carroll (68')
Briston (12'), Hoilett (36'), Drinkwater (65')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Reading
1-0
Middlesbrough
Halilovic (55')
Tetek (49'), Southwood (79'), Rahman (81')

Jones (43'), Peltier (61'), McNair (90+2')
Crooks (86')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Reading
0-2
Middlesbrough

Richards (43'), Rinomhota (59')
Fletcher (22'), Bola (29')
Howson (71'), Fletcher (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Middlesbrough
0-0
Reading

Morsy (75'), McNair (80')

Moore (47'), Richards (73'), Holmes (76')