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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Reading logo

Middlesbrough
5 - 0
Reading

Akpom (24' pen., 48'), Ramsey (45+1', 51'), Forss (76' pen.)
Akpom (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ince (26'), Holmes (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Reading

Middlesbrough suffered a major blow to their top-two dreams at West Brom last weekend, but that loss such not detract from the marvellous job Carrick has done since taking over from Chris Wilder. Reading head to the Riverside with a potential six-point deduction hanging over them, and the ongoing investigation by the EFL could prove to be a distraction for everyone associated with the Berkshire club this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
70.05% (-0.51799999999999 -0.52) 18.61% (0.293 0.29) 11.34% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.684 -0.68)45.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.657 -0.66)67.72% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.336 -0.34)11.75% (0.335 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.08% (-0.72 -0.72)36.92% (0.719 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 70.03%
    Reading 11.34%
    Draw 18.61%
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.61%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.2% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.34%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Reading

Middlesbrough
85.7%
Draw
3.6%
Reading
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Reading
1-0
Middlesbrough
Fornah (28')
Hoilett (41'), McIntyre (75'), Bouzanis (85'), N'Diaye (90+2')

Jones (22')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Reading
Crooks (84', 90+5')
Tavernier (74')
Carroll (68')
Briston (12'), Hoilett (36'), Drinkwater (65')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Reading
1-0
Middlesbrough
Halilovic (55')
Tetek (49'), Southwood (79'), Rahman (81')

Jones (43'), Peltier (61'), McNair (90+2')
Crooks (86')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Reading
0-2
Middlesbrough

Richards (43'), Rinomhota (59')
Fletcher (22'), Bola (29')
Howson (71'), Fletcher (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Middlesbrough
0-0
Reading

Morsy (75'), McNair (80')

Moore (47'), Richards (73'), Holmes (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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