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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
West Brom logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
West Brom

Hugill (42', 50'), Fosu (76')
Coventry (48'), Rathbone (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (32' pen.)
Townsend (68'), Bartley (70'), Grant (74'), Chalobah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Rotherham have fallen into a relegation battle in the Championship since the World Cup break, and a home fixture against a West Brom side who struggle on the road is a good opportunity to distance themselves from the bottom three. The Baggies simply need to start winning on their travels if they are to finish inside the top six this season, but we see Corberan's men only managing a draw in Yorkshire on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
27.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.89% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43%20.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.1%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.88%
    Draw 25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.88%

How you voted: Rotherham vs West Brom

Rotherham United
18.9%
Draw
21.6%
West Bromwich Albion
59.5%
37
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Jul 23, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-1
West Brom
Ladapo (3')
O'Shea (63')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
West Brom
2-1
Rotherham
Rodriguez (77' pen.), Harper (79')
Robertson (50')
Mattock (37'), Jones (66')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Rotherham
0-4
West Brom

Mattock (44')
Gayle (6', 44', 54'), Barnes (20')
Barry (29'), Johnstone (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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