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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Rotherham

Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Trusty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Odofin (29'), Hjelde (45+2'), Fosu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Rotherham United

Birmingham have not been convincing in their performances for a long time, with their good early-season form the reason why they are not in more danger at the foot of the Championship. Despite a lack of options in defence, the Millers have shown enough quality to survive at this level and should be confident of earning a point at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
46.29% (0.70399999999999 0.7) 27.23% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.49% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.337 1.34)58.1% (-1.333 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (1.039 1.04)78.76% (-1.035 -1.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.95500000000001 0.96)25.09% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (1.301 1.3)59.79% (-1.297 -1.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (0.508 0.51)37.74% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.491 0.49)74.51% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 46.28%
    Rotherham United 26.49%
    Draw 27.22%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
51.7%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham United
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Rotherham
Bela (90' pen.)
Sunjic (72')
Sadlier (87' pen.)
MacDonald (45+1')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Birmingham
Crooks (22')
Ajayi (5'), Wood (50'), Vaulks (73')
Maghoma (56'), Jota (63'), Mrabti (93')
Gardner (75')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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