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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 29.74% | 25.81% | 44.46% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% | 51.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% | 31.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% | 67.79% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% | 56.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.74% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.46% |