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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
38.35% ( 0.26) | 27.08% ( -0.13) | 34.56% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.19% ( 0.49) | 54.81% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.89% ( 0.4) | 76.12% ( -0.4) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0.38) | 27.77% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0.49) | 63.35% ( -0.49) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.94% ( 0.16) | 30.06% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.81% ( 0.19) | 66.19% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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