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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Millwall logo

West Brom
0 - 0
Millwall


Thomas-Asante (57'), Dike (69')
FT

McNamara (54'), Bradshaw (69'), Saville (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 West Brom
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Millwall

West Brom have been almost faultless at The Hawthorns since Corberan took over in October, and the Baggies will need that theme to continue in order to close the gap on the top six. Millwall have had a fortnight to dwell on a poor defeat to Huddersfield last time out, and we believe they will be unable to pass a tough test in the Black Country on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
50.23% (0.922 0.92) 25.97% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 23.8% (-0.94 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-0.971 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.802 -0.8)55.42% (0.804 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.662 -0.66)76.61% (0.66300000000001 0.66)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (0.106 0.11)55.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (-1.304 -1.3)38.65% (1.304 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (-1.261 -1.26)75.39% (1.262 1.26)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.22%
    Millwall 23.8%
    Draw 25.97%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.338 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: West Brom vs Millwall

West Bromwich Albion
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Millwall
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
First Round
West Brom
1-2
Millwall
Austin (9')
Bradshaw (28'), O'Brien (55')
Hutchinson (68'), Thompson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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