Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea

Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manning (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
43.9% ( 0.05)	25.57% ( -0.03)	30.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.32% (

0.14)

49.68% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31% (

0.12)

71.69% (

-0.12)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.08)

22.56% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

0.12)

56.16% (

-0.12)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.06)

30.17% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.07)

66.32% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Millwall 43.89%

Swansea City 30.53%

Draw 25.57%

Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.89%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.53%