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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
25.12% (-0.148 -0.15)26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)48.63% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.148 -0.15)55.45% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.121 -0.12)76.64% (0.119 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.213 -0.21)37.47% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.21 -0.21)74.25% (0.208 0.21)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.12%
    Millwall 48.63%
    Draw 26.25%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Reading vs Millwall

Reading
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Millwall
1-1
Reading
Wallace (45+1')
Cooper (10'), Williams (52'), Hutchinson (70'), Leonard (85')
Joao (53')
Semedo (30'), Morrison (55'), Ejaria (60'), Holmes (75')
rhs 2.0


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