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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Millwall |
| 25.12% ( | 26.25% ( | 48.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% ( | 76.64% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( | 37.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( | 74.25% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( | 22.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( | 56.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.12% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.63% |