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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
1 - 2
Bristol City

Powell (36')
Laurent (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-4 Stoke
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Bristol City

Stoke have surely left it too late for a top-six finish but have been a joy to watch over the past few matches, and Neil's men will be confident of lengthening their unbeaten run on Friday. The Robins have continued with their inconsistency in recent times and face a tough assignment in Staffordshire on Good Friday - one we think will end in defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
53.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 25.16% (0.004999999999999 0) 21.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.036999999999999 0.04)54.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.64% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.07 0.07)77.23% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.5%
    Bristol City 21.33%
    Draw 25.16%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
82.9%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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