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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 53.51% ( | 25.16% ( | 21.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( | 76% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( | 20.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( | 52.87% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( | 40.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% ( | 77.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 21.33% |