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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
1 - 2
Bristol City

Powell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
53.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)25.16% (0.004999999999999 0)21.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.036999999999999 0.04)54.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.64% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.07 0.07)77.23% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.5%
    Bristol City 21.33%
    Draw 25.16%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
82.9%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm