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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
49.89% (1.773 1.77) 24.95% (-0.465 -0.47) 25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.901 0.9)50.38% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.792 0.79)72.32% (-0.794 -0.79)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.116 1.12)20.21% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (1.757 1.76)52.52% (-1.761 -1.76)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.61 -0.61)34.67% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.651 -0.65)71.39% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 49.89%
    Bristol City 25.15%
    Draw 24.94%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.183 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
48.1%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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