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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 31.98% ( | 26.81% ( | 41.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( | 75.61% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( | 31.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( | 67.85% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( | 25.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( | 60.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.21% |