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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
31.98% ( -0.01) | 26.81% ( -0.01) | 41.21% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( 0.02) | 54.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.02) | 75.61% ( -0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% ( 0.01) | 31.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( 0.01) | 67.85% ( -0.01) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% ( 0.02) | 60.9% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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