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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 22.81% ( | 25.14% ( | 52.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( | 53.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( | 74.72% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( | 38.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( | 75.06% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( | 20.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( | 52.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-3 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.04% |