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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
22.81% ( 0.28) | 25.14% ( 0.46) | 52.05% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -1.51) | 53.15% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -1.3) | 74.72% ( 1.3) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( -0.57) | 38.3% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( -0.55) | 75.06% ( 0.56) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.89) | 20.42% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( -1.44) | 52.86% ( 1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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