Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham

Louza (6'), Davis (16'), Assombalonga (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
53.09% ( 0.01)	24.61% ( -0)	22.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.01)

51.6% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

73.39% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61% (

0.01)

19.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.8% (

0.01)

51.2% (

-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3% (

-0)

74.7% (

Score Analysis

Watford 53.08%

Birmingham City 22.3%

Draw 24.61%

Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.3%