Watford vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.