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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Khadra (61')
Trusty (45+2'), Bacuna (89'), Bellingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolan (45+2'), Travis (53'), Morton (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier. Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
37.41% (0.012 0.01) 28.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)68.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.4%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
19.4%
Draw
12.9%
Blackburn Rovers
67.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn

Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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