Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.