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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Reading logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Reading

FT(HT: 1-0)
Casadei (68')
Lumley (85'), Ehibhaimha (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Reading

While anything can happen in the Championship, this feels like one of those games which could be a foregone conclusion. The teams are at the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to their respective home and away records, leading us to back a comfortable win for Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
60.91% (-0.978 -0.98) 22.64% (0.738 0.74) 16.45% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-1.697 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-2.548 -2.55)51.45% (2.545 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-2.267 -2.27)73.26% (2.263 2.26)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-1.198 -1.2)16.47% (1.195 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (-2.204 -2.2)46.18% (2.201 2.2)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (-1.218 -1.22)44.4% (1.214 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (-1.006 -1.01)80.45% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 60.89%
    Reading 16.45%
    Draw 22.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.79 0.79)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.716 0.72)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.45%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Reading

Blackburn Rovers
85.3%
Draw
10.3%
Reading
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 8pm
Reading
3-0
Blackburn
McIntyre (14'), Hoilett (61'), Joao (78')
Fornah (53'), Holmes (55'), Guinness-Walker (63'), Lumley (87'), N'Diaye (90+6')

Pickering (12'), Ayala (55')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-0
Reading
Gallagher (61'), Dolan (64')
Buckley (38'), Paul van Hecke (72'), Poveda (79'), Johnson (90+1')

Swift (56'), Drinkwater (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 8pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Blackburn
2-4
Reading
Armstrong (3', 66')
Holtby (5'), Trybull (20')
Meite (1'), Olise (15'), Laurent (18'), Joao (83')
Cabral (76'), Joao (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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