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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
41.29% ( -0.65) | 27.23% ( -0.18) | 31.48% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.03% ( 0.94) | 55.97% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% ( 0.76) | 77.07% ( -0.76) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.11) | 61.94% ( -0.11) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( 1.09) | 32.72% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% ( 1.2) | 69.28% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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