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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Chong (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
41.29% (-0.648 -0.65)27.23% (-0.184 -0.18)31.48% (0.832 0.83)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.937 0.94)55.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (0.757 0.76)77.07% (-0.756 -0.76)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.114 0.11)61.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (1.089 1.09)32.72% (-1.088 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (1.198 1.2)69.28% (-1.197 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.29%
    Birmingham City 31.48%
    Draw 27.22%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.184 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
59.5%
Draw
27.0%
Birmingham City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
QPR
Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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