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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 38.89% ( | 27.15% ( | 33.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% ( | 76.4% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( | 63.16% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( | 30.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.89% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.95% |