Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
  • Trai Hume 45'+3' goal
  • Amad Diallo 75' goal
  • goal George Hall 29'

Sunderland vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Birmingham 0 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result

Sunderland 44.38% (+0.14)
Draw 26.21% (-0.02)
Birmingham City 29.41% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.8% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.42% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.72% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.27% (-0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 76.32% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 23.68% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 42.2% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.79% (-0.11)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 67.42% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.58% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 30.88% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 69.11% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Sunderland 44.38%
Draw 26.21%
Birmingham City 29.41%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.21%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Nov 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 78' goal
  • goal Ellis Simms 25'
  • goal Amad Diallo 49'
Championship
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • David Davis 28' goal
  • Jeremie Boga 44' goal
  • Cheikh N'Doye 52' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 54' goal
  • David Davis 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Clarke-Salter 47'
  • yellowcard Ethan Robson 58'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 78'
  • goal Bryan Oviedo 84'
Championship
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lewis Grabban 21' goal
  • goal Sam Gallagher 16'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 56'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 64'
  • redcard Sam Gallagher 67'
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 80'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 93'
League Cup
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • West Thomas 53' yellowcard
  • goal Jordi Gomez 77'
  • goal Adam Johnson 87'
  • goal Connor Wickham 88'
Premier League
Apr 16, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Larsson 41' goal
  • Craig Gardner 66' goal
Premier League
Aug 14, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darren Bent 24' goal
  • Lee Cattermole 28' yellowcard
  • Kieran Richardson 30' yellowcard
  • Lee Cattermole 44' redcard
  • Stephen Carr 56' goal
  • Darren Bent 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Carr 23'
  • yellowcard Roger Johnson 71'
  • goal Scott Dann 77'
  • goal Liam Ridgewell 88'