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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Luton Town

Blackburn
1 - 1
Luton

Carter (86')
Hyam (72'), Szmodics (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lockyer (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Luton Town

Given the winless run that they have recently embarked on, responding with a win over one of the division's form sides will not be easy for Blackburn. Nevertheless, we are backing Rovers to earn a share of the spoils, the bare minimum as they bid to remain relevant in the promotion race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
24.24% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 47.74% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.91% (-0.123 -0.12)62.09% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.2% (-0.09 -0.09)81.8% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (-0.193 -0.19)42.01% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.169 -0.17)78.45% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 24.24%
    Luton Town 47.74%
    Draw 28.01%
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 14.74% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.87% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 47.74%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
30.9%
Draw
26.6%
Luton Town
42.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Luton
2-0
Blackburn
Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Luton
0-0
Blackburn

Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')

Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Blackburn
1-0
Luton
Armstrong (85')
Travis (50')

Rea (63')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 12
Luton
1-1
Blackburn
Berry (69')
Gallagher (72')
Rothwell (32'), Johnson (71'), (78'), Brereton (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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