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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
24.24% ( -0.13) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 47.74% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.91% ( -0.12) | 62.09% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.2% ( -0.09) | 81.8% ( 0.09) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.99% ( -0.19) | 42.01% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.55% ( -0.17) | 78.45% ( 0.17) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( 0) | 26.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% ( 0) | 61.29% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 14.74% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.91% Total : 47.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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