Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 0
Luton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
35.78% ( -0.12)	28.35% ( 0.05)	35.86% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.45% (

-0.19)

59.54% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.11% (

-0.15)

79.89% (

0.14)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

-0.17)

31.65% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

-0.2)

68.06% (

0.19)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.06)

31.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-0.06)

68.01% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Millwall 35.78%

Luton Town 35.86%

Draw 28.35%

Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.78%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.86%