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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Gabriel Osho
28'
-
Allan Campbell
90'+1'
Luton Town vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result
Luton Town
48.77%
▲
(+0.78)
Draw
26.57%
▼
(-0.27)
Watford
24.65%
▼
(-0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
46.93%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.04%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 2.5
56.96%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
22.14%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 3.5
77.86%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 4.5
9.59%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
90.41%
▼
(-0.29)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
76.58%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 0.5
23.42%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 1.5
42.59%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 1.5
57.41%
▼
(-0.90)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
61.28%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
38.72%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
24.54%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
75.45%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Luton Town
48.77%
Draw
26.57%
Watford
24.65%
Luton Town
1-0
@
13.16%
▼
(-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.77%
2-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.77%
Draw
1-1
@
12.48%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.57%
0-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.57%
Watford
0-1
@
8.6%
▼
(-0.23)
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 24.65%
Kiko Femenia
88'