Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 0
Watford

Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Watford
48.77% ( 0.78)	26.57% ( -0.27)	24.65% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

0.58)

56.96% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14% (

0.46)

77.86% (

-0.47)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.61)

23.42% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

0.88)

57.41% (

-0.89)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

-0.14)

38.72% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

-0.14)

75.45% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 48.77%

Watford 24.65%

Draw 26.57%

Luton Town	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.77%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 24.65%