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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Wigan logo

Watford
1 - 1
Wigan

Davis (45')
Wilder (30'), Davis (89'), Louza (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McClean (51')
Power (29'), Rekik (29'), Sinani (45+2'), Darikwa (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Watford started quickly during the win over Birmingham, and Wilder will be hoping his team do the same on Saturday against a Wigan side who struggle to recover from losing positions, especially away from home. The Latics face another formidable opponent on the road after trips to West Bromwich Albion and Burnley earlier in the month, and we expect Maloney's men to earn nothing out of their Vicarage Road test on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
53.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.82% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.41% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.94% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.83%
    Wigan Athletic 21.33%
    Draw 24.82%
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Watford vs Wigan

Watford
87.5%
Draw
10.0%
Wigan Athletic
2.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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