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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Wigan logo

Watford
1 - 1
Wigan

Davis (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McClean (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
53.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.82% (-0.012 -0.01)21.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.41% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.94% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.83%
    Wigan Athletic 21.33%
    Draw 24.82%
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Watford vs Wigan

Watford
87.5%
Draw
10.0%
Wigan Athletic
2.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm