Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.