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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Blackpool

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
61.39% (-0.395 -0.39) 22.32% (0.026 0.03) 16.29% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.522 0.52)50.43% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.459 0.46)72.36% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (0.8 0.8)43.99% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.649 0.65)80.11% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.39%
    Blackpool 16.29%
    Draw 22.31%
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Luton vs Blackpool

Luton Town
92.0%
Draw
6.0%
Blackpool
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Luton
1-1
Blackpool
Adebayo (2')
Madine (55' pen.)
Dougall (19'), Hamilton (68'), Madine (90+1'), Lavery (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-2
Blackpool
Collins (6'), Cummings (86')
Collins (59')
Collins (61')
Kirby (30'), Virtue-Thick (62')
Delfouneso (50'), Turton (54'), Kirby (67'), Long (96')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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