Championship Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • goal Manuel Benson 66'

Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Preston 1 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ben Brereton Diaz

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 2 QPR
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result

Blackburn Rovers 23.12% (+0.02)
Draw 26.52% (+0.01)
Burnley 50.36% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.6% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.38% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.62% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.14% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.86% (+0.01)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.31% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 40.69% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.72% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.28% (-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 76.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.11% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Blackburn Rovers 23.12%
Draw 26.51%
Burnley 50.36%
Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.51%
Burnley
0-1 @ 13.77%
0-2 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.36%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Ashley Barnes 55' goal
  • Anass Zaroury 74' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 81' goal
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Elliott Bennett 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Cork 27'
  • goal Robbie Brady 45'
  • yellowcard Phil Bardsley 55'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 64'
Championship
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andre Gray 15' goal
  • Matthew Lowton 63' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordi Gomez 13'
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 52'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bennett 91'
  • yellowcard Tony Watt 92'
Championship
Oct 24, 2015 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Scott Arfield 63'
Championship
Mar 9, 2014 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jordan Rhodes 24' goal
  • Luke Varney 55' yellowcard
  • Liam Feeney 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jason Shackell 73'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 74'
  • goal Danny Ings 79'
Championship
Sep 14, 2013 12.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Stanislas 76' goal
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 84'
  • redcard Lee Williamson 90'