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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burnley logo

Reading
0 - 0
Burnley

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBurnley
23.31% (-0.757 -0.76)24.6% (-0.411 -0.41)52.09% (1.17 1.17)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (0.94600000000001 0.95)50.58% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (0.832 0.83)72.49% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)36.41% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (-0.17 -0.17)73.19% (0.172 0.17)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (0.845 0.84)19.39% (-0.841 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (1.366 1.37)51.2% (-1.364 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Reading 23.31%
    Burnley 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
ReadingDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 5.91% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.31%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.5% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.25% (0.187 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.19% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.131 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.139 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 52.09%

How you voted: Reading vs Burnley

Reading
23.8%
Draw
0.0%
Burnley
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
May 3, 2014 12.15pm
Reading
2-2
Burnley
Trippier (16'), McCleary (58')
Akpan (37')
Arfield (19'), Ings (28')
Arfield (60'), Mee (69'), Duff (81')