Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Burnley

Akpom (48' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')

Reaction

Burnley's Ian Maatsen celebrates promotion to the Premier League with teammates on April 7, 2023

Burnley beat Middlesbrough to earn promotion back to Premier League

Burnley beat Middlesbrough 2-1 to seal their promotion back to the Premier League with a record seven games to spare.

Apr 7, 20:56

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Good Friday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Burnley
49.77% ( 0.03)	24.31% ( -0.01)	25.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

0.03)

47.06% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

0.03)

69.3% (

-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.02)

18.95% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

0.04)

50.47% (

-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

32.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

68.74% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 49.76%

Burnley 25.93%

Draw 24.3%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.76%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.93%