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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Preston North End logo

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
62.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.058 0.06)50.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.37% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)80.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.41%
    Preston North End 15.57%
    Draw 22.01%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.57%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Preston

Middlesbrough
63.0%
Draw
29.6%
Preston North End
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
Dec 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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